5 Oct
Assad’s Dangerous Gambit
If anyone ever thought that Syrian President Bashar Assad was a good “peace partner” for Israel, I would hope by now that this belief is recognized for what it actually is—an illusion.
Assad has recently threatened to “destroy Tel Aviv,” if NATO or Turkey attacks his country. Given the mental condition of Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan, I am not at all certain whether he might push the envelope just for the fun of it.
For the past three months, Assad has managed to put off a NATO military attack by Turkey or NATO, and he is calling NATO’s bluff to stop him from cracking down on all dissenters in his country. Assad promises that from the moment a shot is fired against Syria, “it will take only six hours for Syria to devastate Tel Aviv and ignite the entire Middle East.”
The irony is, if Israel is forced to retaliate and invade Syria, they would probably be greeted by millions of Syrians. But for now, the question is: What is Israel to do? Obviously the mad mullahs of Iran are calling the shots. I suspect that the longer Assad brutalizes his population, the more likely Syria will erupt into a civil war. But what about Assad’s Tel Aviv card? Will Hezbollah and Hamas also get involved?
Israel’s response is calculated. Rather than publicizing the drama that is unfolding, which would only serve to heighten Israeli anxieties, Defense Minister Ehud Barak and other ministers have made it perfectly clear what this means for Syria, its cities, as well as for Lebanon—should such an attack against Tel Aviv take place. As with the Turkish PM, Israel is following the Teddy Roosevelt approach, “Walk softly, but carry a big stick . . .”
Short of Israel simply giving up, US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta’s desire for Israel to make up with Turkey, while practical on the one hand, does not really solve the problem—namely, Turkey is trying to reassert its hegemony in the Arab world at the expense of Israel. If I were Panetta, I would tell him the weight of the United States will turn on him and his country should they exacerbate an already tense situation—period.
When and if Syria is attacked, if I were in the Israeli government, I would seriously consider a preemptive strike over all Syrian military bases—and that would only be a start. I think the Israeli response needs to be decisive and complete and offer military assistance to the Syrian people to reclaim their country.
Needless to say, Iran stands to lose and so does Lebanon. Continue Reading
